HOW FAR WILL THE COLLECTIVE WEST FALL WHEN UKRAINE GOES DOWN?
The western powers have bet big on Ukraine weakening Russia. They have invested huge political and financial capital in the enterprise. What happens if they emerge from it totally bankrupted?
Currently we see the USA stretched far beyond its normal ability to reach. The national debt now stands at some $34 trillion with an annual interest payment of some $1 trillion and counting. This while military expenditures continue to rise. All with the prospect of a war with Iran in the offing and a massive rebuilding of Israel’s economy required. Add a potential re-start of the Korean War (North Korea just changed its constitution to once again designate South Korea as an enemy.)
Seeing the U.S. state’s weakness it is inevitable that nations who have been under active threat and sanctions by it will see their opportunity to implement policies they have long waited to implement, further adding to North American woes. The Houthis are clearly unimpressed with the U.S. campaign (now in its fourth round of missile strikes against them) and are continuing to prevent passage of ships attempting to reach Israel. Each missile fired by the U.S. ships in the region costs many millions of dollars.
Congress is demanding that money needs to be spent strengthening the border between the USA and Mexico rather than sending it to Ukraine in what is increasingly being recognised as a lost cause. Only U.S. politicians who are desperately trying to save face and stave off humiliation still want this. Sending seemingly endless billions to Ukraine kicks the can further down the road where they hope they can misdirect attention somehow and say the whole catastrophic failure there was their fault.
However, even if western populations fall for the assertion that it was the various lacks of the Ukrainian regime and its army that caused the whole enterprise to go belly up the U.S. political elite will not go unscathed. Not by a long shot. The consequence of their defeat in Ukraine along with the billions already spent and the billions that will still be required in some form or another if the U.S. elites don’t simply walk away, will be enormous.
But the fall from grace doesn’t end there. With the conclusive victory of Russia over the Kiev regime a number of hits to the reputation of both the USA and its tool, NATO will be inevitable. The shock that all those who advocated for Ukraine are recognised as having spread misinformation with the specific purpose of duping the entire population of the western world will reverberate across the collective west. The reputation of the USA as global cop will fall even further than it did due to the Afghan humiliation. NATO too will be seen as a failure, a paper tiger. And, when there is no longer any possibility for western media to hide its duplicity since the Ukraine conflict began in 2014 the autopsy on its failures will begin.
The mistrust with which a gathering number had already felt toward the Big Brother aspect of western states during Covid will be multiplied many fold. Western politicians, already held in extremely low esteem will plummet even further to an all time nadir from which this time they may never rise. In the USA and across Europe political heads will roll. Macron is surely a political dead duck, Scholz also. Biden is a certain casualty as is Sunak in the UK. Even now we see a changing of the guard in Slovakia with Robert Fico now prime minister backing up Viktor Orban of Hungary in saying no more money for war to Ukraine.
The western powers who went to war with Russia and were defeated on both military and economic battlefields as well as the battlefield of public opinion will be discredited. The new batch of leaders who take their place will recognise the realities facing them and will as quickly as possible mend fences with Russia and reestablish economic ties across the board at Russia’s discretion. A new security architecture for Europe including Russia will be agreed, signed and ratified in the UN. Russia’s eight new oblasts will be formally acknowledged as now being fully integrated regions of the Russian Federation along with Crimea.
The BRICS+ group as a whole and as individual nations will increasingly work with ever more nations globally creating new agreements that lead to stronger connections one to another in a spirit of tolerance creating stable, peaceful conditions. The USA, humbled by multiple humiliations from Ukraine to Gaza to Yemen, North Korea and beyond, will restrict itself to its own borders repatriating its troops from Germany and the rest of Europe and in time, from all its other bases worldwide.
The changes above will be on different timetables. Some, such as the fall of most, if not all, the war-advocates in regard to Ukraine will fall in the short term. The return and retrenchment of U.S. military forces and military assets from Europe and beyond will necessitate a longer term until completion though significant numbers of troops will head home before a significant period of time has elapsed.
BRICS will have many more applications from nations that were once allies of the western powers. The Eurasian Union will be vastly strengthened also. Latin America, free of threat from a cowed USA to the north will experience a wave of changes where pro-U.S. politicians can no longer find an electorate willing to vote for them. Eyes will look east to China and Russia for investment and trade agreements. Cuba will at last be made free of the sanctions the USA has imposed on it for decade upon decade as will all others who have suffered under these mendacious, unilateral, illegal acts of state terror.
We will no longer talk of ‘The West’. Almost all, if not all those who clung to the U.S. orbit will, one after another, disassociate themselves from it. The USA will head to a level of bankruptcy far beyond the level it has reached now. Israel, its proxy in the Middle East will likely be equally bankrupt soon after and will most likely disappear from the map, replaced, once again, by the name Palestine. The USA will be isolated and quarantined until it becomes clear that once and for all it has learned its lesson and begins to atone for its past crimes.
This is how the mighty West will fall with the total failure of its Ukraine gambit. Ukraine will be the catalyst that causes an eventual chain reaction of loss of reputation for the USA across the globe. Its misbegotten attack of Russia will be seen to have brought about its downfall by its very own hand. The indefatigable Palestinians, Yeminis, Iranians, Syrians, Iraqis and very likely the North Koreans, will also have gladly assisted in the process. Wiser heads across the USA, UK and Europe having replaced the fanatical idiocy of those who went before and the complete fall from grace of those who advocated for war will leave no doubt in any mind of just how far the collective west has fallen.