RUNNING UPDATES ON THE CONFLICT IN UKRAINE - 11.04.2023
RUNNING UPDATES ON THE CONFLICT IN UKRAINE - 11.04.2023
Including geopolitical issues affecting the balance of power in the ongoing end game war to establish our common future, a closely monitored prison planet or tolerance for diverse modes of governance.
THE ROAD TO THE ULTIMATE CONCLUSION OF WORLD WAR III RUNS THROUGH HERE.
We will be in various locations in Uzbekistan for the next two days. This will result in variations to the timing of updates and quite possibly their total absence on some days. Our apologies for this alteration to, and possible temporary loss of, our daily updates.
*** ARE ZELENSKY’S DAYS AS UKRAINE’S DICTATOR NUMBERED? ***
…………
“Ukraine. What is the truth...?
Why won’t western media tell both sides…?”
***
VIRTUALLY UNREPORTED ATROCITY IN LUGANSK, 2nd JUNE 2014
A lot has been said about atrocities in the western media claimed to have been perpetrated by the Russians, for example at Bucha and Mariupol among others. These assertions are conveyed on the say so of the Ukrainian authorities. How willing though are western news broadcasters to convey atrocities attributed to the Ukrainians? The following will I think provide the answer.
If anyone wonders if they are receiving accurate coverage of the conflict in Ukraine I would suggest watching the video below of an event which occurred on the 2nd of June 2014 and ask themselves if they recall hearing about it on any mainstream media news channel at the time.
The video is harrowing to watch. The bodies (five women and three men) are real. Yet across western media there was only one single news report that occurred a day later. This was from CNN and occurred only because a CNN team happened to be nearby at the time of the atrocity and so the network could hardly ignore it as all others so obviously did.
The video below shows the unvarnished truth that was not considered newsworthy in western mainstream news.
THE SINGLE WESTERN MSM REPORT ON THE LUGANSK ATROCITY, 3rd JUNE 2014
The video at the CNN link below is the crime scene sanitised by CNN, though played straight with honest reporting on the scene not playing things to Kiev’s tune.
(There was a time early in the war in the Donbass when CNN were not afraid to contradict the Ukrainian regime in Kiev.) Watch because it's the first and last time you will see this.
5 women and 3 men died, all civilians.
Air attack on pro-Russian separatists in Luhansk kills 8, stuns residents.
…………
Lead feature:
ALEXANDER MERCOURIS of THE DURAN
Pushilin Claims Bakhmut Advances Marinka Gains; Pentagon Thinks Ukraine Only Capable of Modest Gains.
THE DURAN
Zelensky in a box, offensive success in doubt. Neocon Plan B, push Poland into conflict.
Document leak, Ukraine running out of anti-aircraft missiles.
ALEX CHRISTOFOROU of THE DURAN
WSJ, burning through S-300s. WaPo doc leak; Expect modest gains & big losses, cancel offensive. U/1
LEVAN GUDADZE
Retreat - Bakhmut, Kherson, US doubts counter-offensive, Biden presidency, China demonstrates force.
Morning briefing of the Ministry of Defense of Russia (April 11, 2023).
GONZALO LIRA'S ROUNDTABLE
The Roundtable #51: Larry Johnson and Ray McGovern, Discussing The Leaks.
KIM IVERSEN
'Do Not Report On the Leaked Pentagon Documents’ Says US Govt Official John Kirby.
ShanghaiEye魔都眼
Lukashenko : 'In case of aggression against Belarus, Russia would defend as its own territory'.
'More than 200 soldiers returning home!' Russia and Ukraine exchange captured soldiers.
Leaked US war files show more Ukrainian casualties than Russian; Russia says leaks are 'interesting'.
iEARLGREY
I'M ON THE UKRAINIAN HIT LIST. "Scholz Became A Collaborator" - Hersh. Price Caps Hit The Rouble.
Radio Belarus - Международное радио "Беларусь".
Belarus peace initiatives, or wars and conflicts that might not have existed. Clear Politics.
TELASUR ENGLISH
President Lula leaves for China to consolidate bilateral relations.
ASIAN QUICKTAKE
Amazing! BRICS Replace Dollar in August, China Overtakes the U.S. by Rare Earths supply. |AsianQ.
HINDUSTAN TIMES
On Cam: Zelensky's men 'run for life' amid Russia's rocket fire and artillery strikes.
Ukraine admits to 'horrible losses' in war against Russia; Refuses to reveal number of casualties.
Putin to unleash new Iranian Meraj-532 drones on Ukraine? Tehran tests UAV loaded with 50 Kg warhead.
Putin blasts Rishi Sunak with a nuke warning; 'UK wants to scorch Ukraine with Uranium...
'Don't Become American Followers': Macron's anti-U.S. pitch; Admits West's failure in Ukraine.
Trouble for Zelensky; Putin's Ally wants guarantee Russia will protect Belarus if attacked.
SEAN FOO
The Dollar’s Decline Can’t Be Stopped | A Return To Gold Is IMPOSSIBLE.
THROUGH THE EYES OF...
MORE THAN 200K PEOPLE CAN EXPECT TO BE CALLED UP TO THE PL ARMY. THE FIRST VOCATIONS -THIS MONTH.
LIU SIVAYA
I CAN NOT BELIEVE IT: my most sentimental analysis | liusivaya. (In Spanish.)
FOOD FOR THOUGHT
PROFESSOR JOHN J MEARSHEIMER
Article published by Russia Today (RT) - 11th April 2023:
US has doubts about Ukrainian ‘counteroffensive’ – Pentagon leaks.
Alleged top secret documents warn of major concerns over Kiev’s forces ability to reclaim territory.
Documents said to have been leaked from US intelligence paint a bleak picture for Ukraine’s much-anticipated counteroffensive, according to the Washington Post. If genuine, they raise doubts about Kiev’s ability to field the manpower and ammunition needed to sustain major combat operations over the coming months.
Parts of the leaked trove began circulating online last month. Files labeled ‘top secret’ reveal American reservations about the upcoming counter-attack, warning that a lack of troops and ammunition could mean that Ukraine will fall short of its ambitious goals to retake lost ground over the spring, the Post reported on Monday.
“Enduring Ukrainian deficiencies in training and munitions supplies probably will strain progress and exacerbate casualties during the offensive,” the document says, going on to cite Russia’s sturdy network of defensive installations across the southern Kherson Region and Kiev’s ongoing “force generation and sustainment shortfalls.”
The document also suggests Ukrainian forces will aim to capture territory in the south and east, apparently hoping to cut off Russian troops advancing from Crimea. However, the intelligence assessment predicts only “modest” success in those goals.
A separate classified briefing prepared by the National Intelligence Council, seen by only select lawmakers on Capitol Hill, concluded that Kiev’s counter-offensive is unlikely to be as successful as operations last fall, which did result in some regained ground, according to sources cited by the Post.
Yet another leaked document cited by the Wall Street Journal on Sunday also warned that Ukraine faces a “looming air defense crisis,” which could prevent its military from massing the frontline forces needed for the counteroffensive. The assessment predicts that, at the current rate of consumption, Kiev will have exhausted its supply of Buk air defense missiles sometime this week, and all of its S-300 ammunition by May 3, leaving its skies largely undefended.
While the full scope of the leak – as well as the veracity of the documents, some of which appear to have been doctored – remains unclear, Pentagon spokesman Chris Meagher has acknowledged that the files “appear... to contain sensitive and highly-classified material.”
During a Monday briefing, he said both the Pentagon and Justice Department are probing the matter, and that a criminal investigation was underway to determine the source of the unauthorized disclosures. A previous report in the New York Times indicated that more than 100 pages had been leaked in total.
The document trove contains a wealth of information about US and NATO war planning in Ukraine, including timelines for training and arms deliveries, data on ammunition expenditures, the structure of Ukrainian combat units, estimated Russian and Ukrainian losses, and, apparently, information regarding foreign special forces on the ground. Officials have declined to confirm the accuracy of their contents, however, saying only that they are investigating the leak.
MAPPING/ANALYSIS CHANNELS
* Updates will be added here as and when they become available.
MILITARY SUMMARY UPDATE
The Russians destroyed bridge. Kupyansk and Liman Blockade. Military Summary And Analysis 2023.04.10
Artillery duels. Operational pause in Bakhmut. Military Summary And Analysis 2023.04.11
KEEP IT SECRET NEWS UPDATE
No update posted so far today
NWE WAR REPORTS UPDATE
No update posted so far today
DEFENSE POLITICS ASIA UPDATE
RUSSIAN ELITES VS UKRAINE ELITES - F16 Pilots wanted for FL [ Ukraine SITREP ] Day 409-411 (8-10/4).
DPA WAR UPDATE
No update posted so far today
THETI MAPPING UPDATE
No update posted so far today
WAR IN UKRAINE UPDATE
No update posted so far today
BALKAN MAPPING UPDATE
Ukraine Front Update [11 April 2023]
Battle for Bakhmut [March 2023] -Everyday.
PROJECT GREAT UPDATE
Russia Destroyed Ukraine's... | Russia's Multiple Advance In Avdiivka | Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
MILITARY AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS NETWORK UPDATE
Battlefield Ukraine The Counter Attack.
RYBAR UPDATE
No update posted so far today
M MAPPING UPDATE
Ukraine:Day411 [ 11 April ] Final Days Of Central Bakhmut.
ATP GEOPOLITICS UPDATE
Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA (20230411): Drones, Brazil, PR, & Voting for Your Next Leader.
Ukraine War Update (20230411): Full Frontline Update.
FREE RUSSIA CHANNEL UPDATE
No update posted so far today
WEEB UNION UPDATE
Heavy Fighting By Central Train Station | Full Front Update 11/04/23
Detailed situation reports can be found on a daily basis concerning events in Ukraine over the past 24 hours at the ‘A SKEPTIC’ Substack account:
Link to 'A SKEPTIC' Substack channel.
***
SUPPORTING SCOTT RITTER
I've been listening to Scott Ritter describe how things are for him and I suspect have been for him for quite some time now.
He has been doing a LOT of unpaid work with a great many interview requests coming in that he has been ready and willing to agree to. But the work where receives some pay for have suffered due to this, being left until the wee small hours of the night to complete work on.
Scott, I think you will agree, has been one of the most influential voices out there on Russia and Ukraine.
I was moved by Scott's words to take an annual subscription to his Substack account that he runs in coordination with his colleague on 'U.S. Tour of Duty', Jeff Norman. This is the main way that Scott recommends to help him with finances with which to upgrade his delivery of comment on Russia and Ukraine, via a better microphone etc. and perhaps the creation of a recording studio in his basement to create a more professional and impressive look. To invest in these things he would like to be sure that this has a viable financial future.
Would you also like to help by subscribing at one of the various levels to Scott's Substack account? I hope so. If so the link is here:
Below you'll find the edited part of the video where Scott talks of his commitments to get the facts out on events in Ukraine and of the finances that would come in handy to enhance their delivery:
***
VICTORY BELONGS TO RUSSIA: IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
Each day that passes makes a conclusive Russian victory in the Donbass and beyond more certain. As Russia bolsters her forces, and weaponry, those of Ukraine decrease. Russian forces gain ready access to rest and recuperation as troop numbers increase. The increasingly exhausted and demoralised Ukrainian troops have an ever decreasing prospect of such respite. This situation is likely to bring them to complete breakdown as Russia unleashes the firepower of the more modern and advanced weaponry that is arriving with the newly mobilised Russian troops.
The various Ukrainian offensives are now weak when confronted by the reinforced Russian lines. A few futile efforts achieve quite miserable results before fire reigns down on the Ukrainian troops and they are forced back to their starting positions.
And now, all this being said, we have arrived at the wet, and later, freezing conditions where these pathetic Ukrainian forces will be subject to myriad forms of abject misery with death and injury all around them while they lie sodden or frozen, abandoned to their fate by Kiev.
The pitiable young and old of Ukraine have been frogmarched to their deaths as cannon-fodder while the bestial elites of the collective West urge their "president" to add more to their number there at the gates of Hell and their doom. We must feel for the majority of them as they are not the Nazis we revile, in most part they are decent men, fathers, sons, brothers, husband and uncles, who no doubt saw through the coup of 2014 for what it was. But sadly, their fate seems sealed.
Nothing will stop Russia now. Every factor favours them. Victory will be Russia's. In Donbass and beyond and in due course across the world.
Victory belongs to Russia: It is now only a matter of time.
UPDATES TO BE ADDED HERE AS AND WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
UPDATES TO BE ADDED HERE AS AND WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IT MAY BE NECESSARY FOR RUSSIA TO DECAPITATE THE UKRAINIAN REGIME
I suspect Russia can no longer gamble on getting a peace deal from the present Ukrainian regime. Backed by the collective western elites who have an incentive to keep the conflict going it seems to me that ideas of an eventual settlement rather than capitulation via regime change decapitation are fading.
Kiev is being used as a grinding tool to whittle away at Russia’s resource base. This is the sole purpose behind the current tactics being deployed by Ukraine’s puppet-masters. Of course it has long been assumed that the obvious advantage Russia has in terms of artillery and air power would overcome all resistance sooner or later. But I do wonder how soon that will be if the West, as it appears to be, is willing to make things drag on right to the very last Ukrainian.
If the western powers have indeed decided to throw everything Ukraine has at the Russian lines without a thought spent considering an eventual peace agreement then their talk of the conflict going on for years that we have heard for a long time now may become reality. What choices, if this is the case, does Russia have at this moment, taking into account that it may have to deal with additional offensives by Ukraine where virtually kamikaze attacks are mounted simply throwing Ukrainians constantly at Russian lines?
1. Russia could continue resolutely as of now, hitting at strategic locations in the Donbass and presumably at some point finally and completely break through Ukraine’s defence lines and then totally secure the Donbass and other liberated regions.
Presumably the strategy then would be to call a halt to the SMO and demand that zElensky agree terms.
But what if this still does not bring the regime to its senses and all that happens when Russia calls a halt to its special military operation is that it simply continues to wage war, using any hiatus to build its army, retrain and gain additional weaponry, meanwhile continuing to mount provocations and sabotage attacks?
2. Russia could take the step that has already been suggested in the Duma, to declare Ukraine a terrorist state and begin an assault on an increased range of targets within Ukraine including all command and control centres including the office and hiding places of the pseudo-president zElensky.
If this option was taken it would be a major step and escalation. Russia wants zElensky in place so that he can sign the eventual peace agreement. But if no peace agreement is contemplated at any point by zElensky what then? Then the only choice it seems to me is the one above, to take out the entire regime or at least to decapitate it.
If Ukraine, through support of its sponsors, can continue to mount attacks using force of numbers and ever more military hardware supplied by the West then I strongly suggest that Russia should actively consider taking out the regime completely as the most reliable means of ending what is intended to be a forever war with the West totally unable to back down.
If Russia did take out the regime in all its aspects it would then “own” Ukraine and this would naturally have its own enormous costs, unless what was left of Ukraine was left to the devices of AZOV, AIDAR and others as a rogue state that the West would require to support. But of course there lies another danger, that the West would simply transfer its allegiance to them, prop them up in turn and begin the same policy of war support as before.
These are difficult decisions for Putin to make along with his military high command. Neither option is ideal in a situation where the Ukrainian regime and its backers resolutely refuse to negotiate, or even contemplate negotiating a peace agreement, but instead continue attacking and harassing Russia and the territories under its control that were once part of Ukraine.
What should Russia do if the strategy of the regime and those behind it is to NOT negotiate ANY peace but to fight and continue fighting no matter the consequences for Ukraine, Russia or the world as a whole?
This is the thorny question the Russians will have to answer if the next few weeks do not bring a final resolution to this conflict and the eventual peace we all hope for.
