RUNNING UPDATES ON THE CONFLICT IN UKRAINE - 11.11.2024
Including geopolitical issues affecting the balance of power in the ongoing end game war to establish our common future, a closely monitored prison planet or tolerance for diverse modes of governance.
THE ROAD TO THE ULTIMATE CONCLUSION OF WORLD WAR III RUNS THROUGH HERE.
*** THE COMPLETE DEFEAT OF THE KIEV REGIME APPROACHES ***
COLLECTIVE WEST-UKRAINE <-> RUSSIA
ALEX CHRISTOFOROU & ALEXANDER MERCOURIS of THE DURAN: MSM stirring up trouble for TRUMP and RUSSIA.
ALEXANDER MERCOURIS of THE DURAN: Moscow: No Trump Putin Call, Slams MSM; Scholz Wants Putin Call, Russia Enters Kupiansk.
ALEX CHRISTOFOROU of THE DURAN: WaPo Trump/Putin call; Kremlin says FICTION. Starmer/Macron, PLOT to thwart Trump. Kamala 47 POTUS.
WaPo Putin-Trump call claim ‘pure fiction’ – Kremlin.
The WaPo report about a purported phone call “absolutely does not correspond to reality,” spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said.
US President-elect Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin did not have a phone conversation about the Ukraine conflict, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said.
The Washington Post claimed on Sunday that Trump called Putin after winning his second, albeit non-consecutive term as US president to discuss his vision regarding how the Ukrainian crisis could be deflated. Peskov said on Monday that the article was a “vivid example of the quality of information published by even some respectable outlets.”
“This absolutely does not correspond to reality. This is pure fiction. This information is simply false,” he told the press.
Kiev previously denied the claim made by the Washington Post in its piece that the Ukrainian government was informed about the phone call beforehand and gave its consent to the US-Russian engagement.
“Reports that the Ukrainian side was informed in advance of the alleged call are false,” the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman told Reuters on Sunday.
Trump had claimed while on the campaign trail that he could end the Ukraine conflict “in 24 hours,” if US voters grant him a second term in office. He reportedly intends to leverage US military and financial aid to Ukraine to pressure both Moscow and Kiev to achieve a compromise.
READ MORE: Trump Jr. trolls Zelensky
Russia, which currently has the advantage on the battlefield, has said that it will only accept an outcome that addresses the core causes of the Ukraine conflict. Those include NATO’s enlargement in Europe and Kiev’s discriminatory policies against ethnic Russians, according to Moscow.
The Washington Post reported a phone call between Trump and Putin based on accounts by sources “familiar with the matter,” who spoke on condition of anonymity.
WaPo Putin-Trump call claim ‘pure fiction’ – Kremlin.
Trump’s reported Ukraine peace plan is doomed to fail.
There is simply no way the proposals can be implemented if the current leadership in Kiev remains
Mikhail Khodarenok is a military commentator for RT.com. He is a retired colonel. He served as an officer at the main operational directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces.
US President-elect Donald Trump and his advisers are apparently considering a new plan to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. This was reported by the Wall Street Journal last week.
The proposals allegedly include a freeze on military operations along the front line, the creation of a demilitarized zone, and a guarantee that Kiev won’t join NATO for at least 20 years. At the same time, the West would continue to supply Ukraine with weapons.
According to the newspaper, Trump’s promise to end the war by January’s Inauguration Day now puts him in the position of having to choose between competing proposals from advisers united by a common idea – a complete departure from current President Joe Biden’s plans to transfer arms and military equipment to Kiev for “as long as it takes.”
Throughout his election campaign, Trump sharply criticized Biden’s handling of Ukraine, warning that it brought closer the possibility of World War III, and that Kiev had cheated the US out of billions of dollars in free weapons.
Earlier this year, advisers Keith Kellogg and Fred Fleitz (who worked in Trump’s administration during his first term) presented a plan to reduce the supply of arms and military equipment to Ukraine until Kiev agreed to peace talks with Russia.
Read more: Here’s why Trump won the election, and what he may do now
According to the Wall Street Journal’s sources, the new proposal to resolve the armed conflict includes several key points. In the most general terms, these boil down to the following:
They assume that hostilities will stop at the current milestones achieved by both sides of the conflict. This means freezing the front line and creating a demilitarized zone along it.
Russia will retain control over part of Ukraine’s claimed territory. For its part, Kiev must promise not to try to join NATO for the next two decades. In return, the US will continue to supply Ukraine with arms and military equipment. At the same time, according to the newspaper’s sources, Trump has not yet approved the final plan for resolving the conflict and intends to continue discussing it with his closest advisers.
What would the demilitarized zone look like?
The new settlement plan, details of which have been obtained by the WSJ, raises many questions. For a start, it is not even clear what the DMZ (demilitarized zone) would look like (at least its geometric dimensions should be specified) or whether it will extend, for example, to all the new regions of Russia (including the Crimean Peninsula).
According to the classic definition of a DMZ, military facilities on this territory must be removed, while the deployment of units and formations of armed forces, the fortification of the terrain, and the conduct of combat and operational training activities on it are prohibited. Most likely, Moscow and Kiev will stumble at the first point of the Trump plan and categorically reject the elimination of their military infrastructure.
Read more: Can Trump really end the Ukraine conflict ‘in 24 hours’?
Maintaining the security regime in the DMZ in this particular case will require, among other things, the presence of a contingent of peacekeepers (if only to separate the parties’ forces). Washington has already made it clear that the White House does not intend to send US military units to Ukraine for this purpose. Western European countries may then be involved instead. It is not yet possible to give clear answers to the many questions about the composition and size of any peacekeeping contingent, who would be in command and what the legal status of these forces might be.
Therefore, it is not difficult to use the term “demilitarized zone” but it seems to be problematic for the American side to describe how this will be implemented in practice and in detail.
What about legal status and NATO?
The next point in Trump’s plan is that “Russia will retain control over part of Ukrainian territory (sic).” It remains to be clarified which land, exactly, how its legal status could be described, and what is Kiev’s position on this issue (in other words, does Ukraine agree with this assumption in Trump’s plan?). Nothing is clear.
Next. According to the proposals, Ukraine will not try to join NATO for the next 20 years. At the very least, this thesis sounds pretty funny.
In other words, all responsibility in this matter is being shifted not onto Brussels and Washington, but onto Kiev. For example – we ask you not to apply to NATO. In short, “we’ll ask them not to lie, but they will lie.”
Again, why only 20 years? What is the justification for this particular timeframe? Where does it come from? Is it based on the title of Alexandre Dumas’ famous novel 1845 “Twenty Years After?”
And finally, in return, the US will continue to supply Ukraine with arms and military equipment. This is the most important point. Because if Washington stops supplying military equipment to Ukraine, the war will end tomorrow, without any demilitarized zones.
Is it possible to reach an agreement with Kiev?
Read more: Trump’s win is a victory for the non-brainwashed Americans
The most important thing about Trump’s plan is that the authors don’t seem to have coordinated in any way with either Moscow or Kiev. And the Ukrainians will be the main problem, because the chief obstacle to the implementation of any peace initiatives is the absolutely insane and inadequate military-political leadership in Kiev (this can be judged with absolute certainty on the basis of all of their recent actions and steps, including the demands for Tomahawk missiles).
Just one example. Former Ukrainian President Pyotr Poroshenko, after the US elections, outlined five ‘red lines’: no compromise on Ukraine’s independence, no return to “Russia’s zone of influence”; Kiev will never give up territories that have come under Russian control; Ukraine will not agree to ‘limit the capacity of its armed forces’ because they are ‘the most reliable and effective guarantor of the survival of the Ukrainian state’; until the ‘full liberation’ of its territory, Ukraine cannot ‘compromise or agree to lift sanctions.’
In fact, Poroshenko’s statements quite accurately reflect the mood of the Ukrainian political class and fully characterize Kiev’s policy as a set of statements that are absolutely not based on the real capabilities of the state, its forces and means.
That is why the first point of any peace plan by Trump should sound something like this: “First of all, we must bring to power in Kiev a leadership capable of fulfilling contracts. Most importantly, reasonable and appropriate people. Only then will negotiations and discussion of any positions be possible.”
Trump’s reported Ukraine peace plan is doomed to fail.
Sсholz open to talks with Putin
The German chancellor says he is not in a position to “unilaterally” initiate communication with the Russian president.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has said he is planning to have a phone conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin “in the near future,” provided that a consensus with “partners” can be reached.
Scholz has previously expressed his intention to speak with the Russian leader and try and negotiate an end to the Ukraine conflict, which escalated in 2022.
Last month he reaffirmed his willingness to speak to Putin “when the time is right,” stressing that such a discussion would never happen “over the heads of Ukraine and never without deliberation with our closest partners.”
Moscow has dismissed the possibility of talks with Berlin, saying the two leaders have “no common issues” to discuss.
In an interview with German TV channel ARD, Scholz was asked whether he was still considering dialogue with Putin, and if so, when “the right time” would be.
“Yes, I am going to talk to the Russian president in due course. But I will not do it unilaterally. It involves many contacts and negotiations with many people, which I have been actively pursuing for a long time,” the chancellor said, adding that a conversation is likely to happen soon.
Putin and Scholz have not spoken since December 2022, when they discussed the reasons for Russia’s military operation. Earlier this year, Scholz said a conference on finding a diplomatic solution to the fighting should be held soon, and reportedly planned to invite Moscow to the next “peace summit.” The Swiss-hosted event last summer focused on Zelensky’s ‘peace formula’ – a ten-point wish list that Moscow has dismissed as delusional. Russia was not invited to the meeting, which failed to yield any concrete results.
Read more: Economy minister seeking German chancellorship
The chancellor, however, argued that “nothing about Ukraine” could be negotiated “without Ukraine.”
Germany has been a staunch supporter of Kiev, providing billions of euros in military aid since January 2022. The country’s contribution to Ukraine’s war effort is only second to that of the US. However, Germany is planning to nearly halve military aid for Ukraine next year, from around €8 billion ($8.7 billion) to €4bn, according to a draft budget approved by the government.
Moscow says relations between the two countries have been “reduced to virtually zero,” maintaining that it is only interested in peace talks with “the country that is actually directing the entire process.”
Sсholz open to talks with Putin.
SCOTT RITTER: Russia on the Brink of Victory as Ukraine's Army is Being Destroyed.
SEBASTIAN SAS: Agreement Between US and Russia TERRIFIES The EU.
AMIT SENGUPTA: Will Donald Trump End Ukraine war | Elon Musk Secretary of Cost Cutting | Putin on Call.
LEVAN GUDADZE: Ukraine Lost Makarovka. Trump Threatens Russia? Pompeo and Haley to Be Ignored. Russia - Africa...
BORZZIKMAN: War in Ukraine Will End on Russia's Terms: Putin Refused Trump's Peace Plan & The Deal with the US.
US Eyes Holding Presidential, Parliamentary Elections in Ukraine in 2025 - Russian Intel.
The US plans to throw in an initiative on elections in 2025 through structures controlled by Ukraine, the Russian Foreign Intelligence stated. The State Department will coordinate the nomination of candidates, it added.
Washington is considering holding presidential and parliamentary elections in Ukraine in 2025 amid ongoing hostilities with Russia, the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) said on Monday.
"The press office of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia reports that, according to information received by the SVR, the US State Department leadership continues to work out options for replacing the current leadership of Ukraine, if necessary. As one of the 'legitimate' ways to eliminate the 'overly presumptuous' V. Zelensky, Washington is considering holding presidential and parliamentary elections next year in the context of continued hostilities with Russia," the SVR said in a statement.
The US plans to throw in an initiative on elections in 2025 through structures controlled by Washington, the statement read, adding that the State Department will coordinate the nomination of candidates.
"The leaders of the US foreign policy department [US Department of State] has decided to launch preemptive work on issues related to creating the conditions for starting an electoral campaign in Ukraine. In the first phase, it is planned to use American 'democratization' funds and 'think tanks' to encourage Ukraine's civil society organizations under their influence to put forward the appropriate initiative," the statement reads.
This initiative, according to the US plan, should receive "broad public support," clarified the press office.
"The nomination of candidates will be carried out in coordination with the State Department. American NGOs will select local civil society organizations to monitor the elections," they added.
he United States is initiating the creation of a pro-American political party in Ukraine, according to a report from the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) on Monday.
"With support of the US, discussions have began among Western-backed Ukrainian 'civil activists' about the establishment of new party that will take a pro-US stance during upcoming electoral campaign. According to the US State Department's plan, such a political force should enter the Verkhovna Rada and become a key element in the system of checks and balances for any Ukrainian leader," the SVR's statement reads.
The discussion about the creation of a new pro-American political party in Ukraine suggests that the fate of the country and its "rubber stamp rulers" will continue to be decided in Washington, according to the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR).
"This sort of activity by the United States clearly demonstrates that the repeated mantra churned out by US officials, 'Not a word about Ukraine without Ukraine,' is nothing more than a glamorous 'facade'. In reality, the fate of this country and its rubber stamp leaders will continue to be decided in Washington’s high offices,” the statement reads.
US Eyes Holding Presidential, Parliamentary Elections in Ukraine in 2025 - Russian Intel.
ISRAEL-WEST <-> PALESTINE-IRAN-SYRIA-IRAQ-LEBANON-YEMEN-VENEZUELA-DPRK
SCOTT RITTER: Israel's Defense DESTROYED by Iran's Missiles—Hezbollah CRUSHING IDF ft. Ray McGovern.
COLONEL JACQUES BAUD: Israel's Defense CRUMBLES Under Iran's Missiles as Hezbollah CRUSHES IDF.
GEORGE GALLOWAY - FIORELLA ISABEL: INTERVIEW: Trump and the Pay Pal mafia.
Deputy PM Dar Calls For Accountability Of Israel’s War Crimes.
Saudi Armed Forces Chief Visits Iranian Counterpart for Rare Meeting.
CARL ZHA: US Plan for Middle East Under Trump.
USA
TUCKER CARLSON: “A New Generation” - How Does Trump Keep Neocons and War Hawks Out of His New Administration?
DUE DISSIDENCE: Pompeo SHUT DOWN by MAGA Base, Damning UN Report, Organizing the Post-2024 Left - w/ Kshama Sawant.
GEORGE GALLOWAY: It was the working class of America wat dun it!
MULTIPOLARITY - RUSSIA-CHINA / BRICS
CYRUS JANSSEN: China Just Won the Trade War (But Not How You Think).
SEAN FOO: As China Giant CANCELS $4 Billion German Mega-Plants, Berlin Faces Collapse From Within.
Saudi Armed Forces Chief Visits Iranian Counterpart for Rare Meeting.
EUROPE / UK
EU buys more Russian fuel via India – report.
New Delhi has capitalized on a sanctions loophole, according to an energy think tank.
India’s exports of oil products to the EU soared 58% in the first three quarters of this year, implying a surge in purchases of fuel made from sanctioned Russian crude, according to the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA).
India’s leading refineries are increasingly reliant on crude from Russia, and the country was the second largest buyer of Russian fossil fuels in October, the energy think tank wrote in a report on Friday. An estimated 77% of India’s imports from Russia, valued at $2 billion, comprised crude oil, CREA noted.
Following the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, the EU and G7 nations introduced a price cap and an embargo on imports of crude oil and refined petroleum products from Russia in a bid to stem the flow of revenue to Moscow.
READ MORE: Russia to boost non-oil exports to India – Moscow
However, a lack of EU regulations on petrochemicals produced from Russian crude in third countries has meant that India can import Russian crude, refine it, and legally export oil products to the EU, CREA explained. India has capitalised on the refining loophole, it added.
Following the introduction of sanctions, New Delhi ramped up purchases of Russian oil, sold at steep discounts. The Indian leadership has argued that the country is pursuing a pragmatic energy policy and prioritizing affordability for its citizens.
India is the world’s most populous country and the third-largest oil consumer. At a Russian-Indian business summit in Mumbai on Monday, Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar reiterated that New Delhi wants to build long-term energy cooperation with Russia, which would enable both countries to withstand global uncertainty.
In 2023, bilateral trade amounted to $65 billion, an increase of 80% compared to 2022. Oil imports from Russia currently make up 40% of India’s crude purchases, up from less than 1% before the escalation of the Ukraine crisis in February 2022.
READ MORE: India says Russian oil deal prevented global crisis
India has come under fire from Kiev and Western countries for its continued cooperation with Russia. Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky said last month that New Delhi should drop what he described as a neutral position on the Ukraine conflict, and support Western sanctions against Moscow.
EU buys more Russian fuel via India – report.
LENA PETROVA: 🔴 EU's Controlled Collapse & Full De-industrialization: EU to Start Buying Expensive LNG from the US.
Scholz open to confidence vote before Xmas as German governing coalition breaks up.
AFRICA
Uganda Considering Invitation to Become BRICS Partner Country.
Uganda has received an invitation from Russia to become a partner country of BRICS and is currently considering the offer, Ugandan Foreign Minister Abubaker Jeje Odongo told Sputnik.
Earlier on Saturday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said during a meeting with his Ugandan counterpart that Russia had supported Uganda as a partner country in BRICS.
"Uganda has been invited to become a partner member of BRICS. I received this invitation about three days ago. We are currently going through all the necessary procedures to determine whether we will accept this invitation or not," Odongo said on the sidelines of the first ministerial conference of the Russia-Africa Partnership Forum.
Uganda Considering Invitation to Become BRICS Partner Country.
NON-ENGLISH NEWS
LIU SIVAYA: SER MADRE EN RUSIA.
RUSSIA / EXPATS IN RUSSIA
MOSCOW PHOTOGRAPHER: Nizhny Novgorod: Russia's Hidden Gem.
MAPPING CHANNEL UPDATES
Harvest Time🔥Kurakhove Dam Destroyed💥 The Russians Cleared Kolisnykivka🎖 Military Summary 2024.11.11
AFU DAMMED Near Kurakhove | 2 New MASSIVE RUAF Offensives Reported By Ukrainian Command.
Two Kings And One World🌏 Kurakhove Defense Has Collapsed⚔️ Military Summary And Analysis 2024.11.11
Russian breakthrough at Kursk Front! | Ukraine War SITREP.
Massive Attacks Are Imminent, Reality For UA In Kursk | Trump-Putin Talk - Ukraine Map & News Update.
Russia's Biggest Breakthrough South Of Kurakhove l Russian Advance In Terny.
VICTORY BELONGS TO RUSSIA: IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
Each day that passes makes a conclusive Russian victory in the Donbass and beyond more certain. As Russia bolsters her forces, and weaponry, those of Ukraine decrease. Russian forces gain ready access to rest and recuperation as troop numbers increase. The increasingly exhausted and demoralised Ukrainian troops have an ever decreasing prospect of such respite. This situation is likely to bring them to complete breakdown as Russia unleashes the firepower of the more modern and advanced weaponry that is arriving with the newly mobilised Russian troops.
The various Ukrainian offensives are now weak when confronted by the reinforced Russian lines. A few futile efforts achieve quite miserable results before fire reigns down on the Ukrainian troops and they are forced back to their starting positions.
And now, all this being said, we have arrived at the wet, and later, freezing conditions where these pathetic Ukrainian forces will be subject to myriad forms of abject misery with death and injury all around them while they lie sodden or frozen, abandoned to their fate by Kiev.
The pitiable young and old of Ukraine have been frogmarched to their deaths as cannon-fodder while the bestial elites of the collective West urge their "president" to add more to their number there at the gates of Hell and their doom. We must feel for the majority of them as they are not the Nazis we revile, in most part they are decent men, fathers, sons, brothers, husband and uncles, who no doubt saw through the coup of 2014 for what it was. But sadly, their fate seems sealed.
Nothing will stop Russia now. Every factor favours them. Victory will be Russia's. In Donbass and beyond and in due course across the world.
Victory belongs to Russia: It is now only a matter of time.
UPDATES TO BE ADDED HERE AS AND WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
UPDATES TO BE ADDED HERE AS AND WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TRUMP’S PLAN FOR UKRAINE & RUSSIA’S HARD BARGAIN TO ESTABLISH A LASTING PEACE
It isn’t official yet but something more than hints are being delivered through legacy news media regarding Trump’s plan to end the Ukraine war.
It appears very likely that Trump, after discussing every possible option with advisers, will opt for something close to the following:
Russia to (at the very least) retain Crimea & most likely, all liberated territory to date.
Ukraine to wait twenty years before joining NATO.
Zelensky is 100% certain to reject 1.
Putin is 100% certain to reject 2.
Zelensky knows he risks assassination at the hands of the Ukrainian ultranationalists if he makes even the slightest move in his position on ceding land to Russia.
Putin has said ever since the prospect of Ukraine joining NATO was raised by George W. Bush at a NATO conference in Bucharest in 2008, that Russia could not tolerate Ukraine joining NATO under any circumstances.
If Trump’s plan looks anything like points 1. and 2. above, then there will be no immediate 24-hour success concerning the Ukraine war as Trump has bragged.
If Zelensky was replaced however, then the prospect of success for Trump’s plan increase enormously. In this scenario Putin would certainly insist on an approach with an even greater focus on reality.
What might this look like?
Russia retention in perpetuity of the Crimean peninsula, all territory liberated by Russia to the date of negotiations plus the entirety of regions only partially taken thus far. (All new territory to be officially recognized as now part of the Russian Federation.)
A lifting of all western sanctions on Russia.
A return of all Russian assets and monies previously frozen and stolen by the West.
Compensation in full by the West to Russian companies and individuals for the loss of money, markets and potential profits lost through the western sanctions regime.
Ukraine’s constitution changed immediately to no longer contain any reference to joining NATO.
A formally authorized assurance by Ukraine that it will never seek to join NATO and will remain a neutral state in perpetuity. (This to be ratified at every level including by the United Nations.)
The restriction of the Ukrainian military to 30,000 individuals.
A program set in place to outlaw armed militias within Ukraine and to disarm and, in certain specified cases, jail radical, ultra nationalistic elements holding such weapons.)
A complete ban on foreign powers deploying their troops or military assets on the territory of Ukraine without authorisation from the Russian government.
Free movement of the citizens of the Donbass within the newly redrawn boundaries of Ukraine.
Restoration of the Russian language as the second official language of Ukraine.
Full compensation under the law by the Ukrainian government and its western sponsors for the families in the Donbass whose members died or were injured during the decade of Ukrainian bombardment from 2014 to the end of the war.
A fulsome apology to the families in point 8 above by the new Ukrainian president and government along with all the western sponsors of the previous Ukrainian president and government.
A fulsome apology to the citizens, president and government of Russia by Ukraine’s western sponsors.
NATO to withdraw all its forces to positions where they stood in 1990 at the time of the reunification of Germany as negotiated by Michael Gorbachev of the Soviet Union and never thereafter move an inch further east.
An immediate start to the devising of a comprehensive security architecture for Europe including Russia.
Naturally there would be horse-trading on all points above though Russia would certainly, having decisively and incontrovertibly won the war in Ukraine, play hardball, and seek to achieve acceptance of all points above and to maximum degree, before agreeing and implementing its campaign against the Zelensky regime, NATO and its western sponsors.
In return Russia would offer no opposition to Ukraine joining the European Union unhindered.
The above points reflect the normal conclusion to a war where an outright victory has been achieved and the losing side has capitulated. Nothing more should be expected either by the Ukrainian authorities or their sponsors.
You can see how far from reality Trump’s plan is likely to be. What likelihood is there that the present Kiev authorities and in particular the Ukrainian president would agree to any of the points above. It is surely clear that Zelensky must go before there is any realistic prospect of ANY progress toward an ending of hostilities. With Zelensky gone and a pragmatic leadership in power in Kiev then and only then does the prospect of an end to the war emerge. This will be no 24 fix as Trump claims. One way or another Putin, Russia and above all others, the Russian military, will be the determining factor that will conclusively end this war and finally, bring peace.
