UKRAINE IS DEAD IN THE WATER

There isn't a single factor working in Ukraine's favour. All indicate a certain Russian victory over time. And with an extremely robust Russian economy behind it Russia has all the time in the world.

With three U.S. servicemen dead and another twenty five injured in a Middle Eastern military base the executive branch of the USA is looking at more reasons it needs to conserve its already overstretched financial resources and munitions for yet another military campaign. This time against Iran who it blames for supporting the militants who mounted the rocket attack upon the base.

Providing Israel with ever more financial and military support into a future, long-term conflict with Hamas and Hezbollah was already putting a strain on things. Then there’s the need to add to and replace the ultra-expensive missiles being fired at Houthi installations in Yemen. Adding a war with Iran will leave how much for Ukraine? That is even if Congress agrees some deal whereby a reduced amount is sent, and this is looking increasingly unlikely.

Now Biden must contend with the semi-insurrection occurring in Texas, supported by twenty five other states. Truly he doesn’t have his problems to seek. With a national debt of thirty four trillion and counting with interest of a trillion per year to pay and Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan saying it could destroy the U.S. economy Biden has less and less wriggle room.

“It is a cliff, we see the cliff,” Dimon said. “It’s about 10 years out, we’re going 60 miles an hour [toward it].”

In Europe Slovakia has joined Hungary in rejecting the EU policy of supporting Ukraine with military aid, stating their opposition to this and advocating only humanitarian aid be sent and that negotiations should start to end the conflict instead. Germany, now deep in recession and suffering deindustrialsation is no longer the industrial powerhouse it once was. It’s parliament just recently resoundingly defeated a bill giving the green light to sending Taurus missiles to Ukraine.

France will send some forty glide bomb missiles per month, less than the amount Russia deploys in forty eight hours or so. Other than this the armament and munitions stocks of all NATO nations are extremely low. While all this continues to get worse by the day European populations are beginning to feel the pinch and Ukrainians are not quite the welcome guests they once were. All the idealism is draining away in respect of supporting the Ukrainian regime and its beggar-in-chief, Zelensky.

On the battlefield Russia is now grinding at the Ukrainian defence lines, arms dumps, mercenary barracks and much more. Pummeling them all with drone drops, glide bombs and artillery shells. Casualty rates among the Ukrainians is currently running at an all time high of between 1,000 to 1,200 dead and wounded per day. Russia is outmaneuvering static Ukrainian positions, liberating villages and causing Kiev’s troops to surrender, withdraw or run for their lives.

In Kiev the power-mongers in the upper echelons of influence are engaged in an internecine struggle to wrest power from each other, sometimes with fatal consequences. One such person had his wife poisoned. Another died having been given a live grenade as a birthday present. Corruption is rife. In recent days a scandal has broken out concerning graft in the arms-procurement section of the military. Zelensky and his military commander despise each other with no compromise position emerging from either.

‘Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,

The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere   

The ceremony of innocence is drowned;

The best lack all conviction, while the worst   

Are full of passionate intensity.’

William Butler Yeats

Zelensky refuses to face reality and negotiate land, demilitarisation, denazification and no-to-NATO for peace. Biden daren’t countenance a defeat to Russia in this election year. The present reality of incremental Russian gains, ever more Ukrainian deaths, better and more weapons from Russia’s military industrial complex, 1,200 new volunteer recruits to the Russian army per day and absolutely no end in sight to Russian dominance across the spectrum.

So where does this leave the Ukrainian regime and its increasingly poorly maintained and untrained army? Currently it requires billions per month just to cover governmental expenses. Then there is the desperate need for more ammunition when the collective west is fast running out.

Where does all this leave Ukraine you ask?

Up shit creek without a paddle.

Dead in the water in fact.