6 Comments
Sep 5, 2022Liked by Aearnur

Maybe the offensive is still going....maybe it is better than thought originally or maybe it is not. I think Brian Berletic has offered a good analysis of it: “Kherson Offensive: What Went Wrong?”

https://libya360.wordpress.com/2022/09/04/kherson-offensive-what-went-wrong/

But, sadly, I do agree with your second option. Thank you.

Expand full comment
author

Hopefully Brian is correct. He usually is. The next few days will perhaps be crucial in deciding the eventual outcome. Though this estimation may prove too optimistic and this conflict will go through many more convolutions yet.

Expand full comment
Sep 5, 2022Liked by Aearnur

YES. Sadly, the West will keep supplying arms and mostly Ukrainians, but also Russians will keep dying. I really despair.

Expand full comment

Not quite.

The Russian Armed Forces do not publish timetables and they take their time.

This war runs on their schedule, they are there to destroy the Ukrainian Armed Forces, take all the productive regions of The Ukraine and they will leave the Kyiv Government, incompetent as they are, right where they are. Because they are incompetent.

As US General Curtis LeMay pointed out decades back, you wins wars by killing people. When you kill enough of them, they give up. Quoted here in greater detail and context . . . https://les7eb.substack.com/p/great-game-ukraine-long-proxy-war

Expand full comment
author

Thank you very much for this Les.

Expand full comment

I remember the event your Vietnam War photo depicts, exposed by Seymour Hersch as I recall. Feel free to subscribe - all free. . . . https://les7eb.substack.com/

Expand full comment